BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Elizabeth City St

Class: 2 Class Rank: 164 Conference: Central Intercollegiate Athletic Association Record: (2-6) Overall: (2-9) Overall Strength =   74.65

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2019 Away    L    55.10   7  65   1B 113 (  5-  7) Hampton               -20.16 *  -37.84                      
  2 09/14/2019 Away    L *  68.82  16  27    2 162 (  4-  6) Livingstone            -6.44     -4.56                      
  3 09/21/2019 Away    L    72.09   7  45   1B 111 (  4-  8) North Carolina Centr   -3.18 *  -34.82                      
  4 09/28/2019 Neutral L *  63.50  12  55    2  89 (  8-  3) Fayetteville St       -11.76    -31.24                      
  5 10/05/2019 Away    W *  93.05  27  17    2 156 (  2-  8) St Augustine's         17.79     -7.79                      
  6 10/12/2019 Home    L *  73.34  21  54    2  79 (  8-  2) Virginia St            -1.92    -31.08                      
  7 10/19/2019 Home    W *  76.65  34  18    2 166 (  0- 10) Lincoln PA              1.39     14.61                      
  8 10/26/2019 Away    L *  85.33  41  49    2 146 (  3-  7) Chowan                 10.07    -18.07                      
  9 11/02/2019 Away    L * 101.49  19  26    2  88 (  7-  3) Virginia Union         26.23 *  -33.23                      
 10 11/09/2019 Home    L *  76.65  21  60    2  50 ( 11-  1) Bowie St                1.39 *  -40.39                      
 11 11/15/2019 Home    L    61.85  29  32   NA  82 (  2-  5) Allen                 -13.41     10.41                      
      Averages              75.26  21.3 40.7

Best game:  101.49 = 7 point loss to Virginia Union
Worst game:  55.10 = 58 point loss to Hampton
Team stdev:  13.75